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The Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
Annex B
Legal Arrangements for the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
Disarmament undertakings need to be established as legal as well as political
and normative obligations if they are to provide the confidence needed for
the achievement of a nuclear weapon free world and the basis for the necessary
verification arrangements, and particularly for their permanent maintenance.
There are a variety of legal arrangements in which the legal obligations
could be embodied.
Legal Options
There are a number of legal instruments in place and in prospect which embody
legal obligations relevant to arrangements for the elimination of nuclear
weapons. Amendments could be made to existing instruments or protocols added
to cover additional obligations. Alternatively a new treaty could be negotiated.
Non-treaty measures could also assist the disarmament process and transition
to a nuclear weapon free world. This annex canvasses the options available.
Treaty Measures
Amendments
The method of amending a multilateral treaty depends on the terms of the
treaty. Where no provision is made for amendment, the residual rules set
out in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties apply.
Unless a multilateral treaty provides otherwise, amendments to it bind only
those parties which become party to the amending instrument. Where not every
party to a multilateral treaty adheres to an instrument amending the treaty,
a two-tiered system arises in which two different sets of states are bound
by two different sets of obligations. First, the unamended treaty governs
relations between a state party to the unamended treaty and a state party
to the treaty as amended. It also governs relations between two states party
to the unamended treaty. Second, the treaty in its amended form governs
relations between two states party to the treaty as amended.
As a practical matter, it is difficult to prevent such a two-tiered outcome
from persisting for a protracted period even where all parties to the original
treaty intend to ratify the amending instrument. This is because delays
are inevitable as each state party complies with domestic requirements for
treaty action before ratifying the amending instrument. In a situation where
some parties to the treaty were unwilling to ratify the amending instrument
because they disagreed with the substance of the amendments, the two tiers
of obligation would continue indefinitely.
The effect of two co-existing tiers of obligation varies with the nature
of the treaty. Most treaty obligations in the field of disarmament are not
premised on a strictly reciprocal basis. In the case of the Treaty on the
Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, for example, each party's obligations
are of an over-arching and largely negative ­p; that is, refraining ­p;
nature. In one sense, those obligations benefit states not party to the
NPT as much as states party, although they are not enforceable by non-party
states. In many areas of international trade law, by contrast, the benefit
of treaty obligations flows to other states on a purely reciprocal basis,
even in the context of a multilateral treaty. That is, the benefit arising
from the treaty obligations of one state party will flow only to other states
party.
This propensity for the benefits of disarmament obligations to flow on to
non-party states may lessen the impact of having two co-existing tiers of
obligation. The new obligations assumed by those states parties which ratify
an amending instrument are likely to benefit one and all, irrespective of
adherence to the ratifying instrument or even to the unamended treaty. On
the other hand, this feature may lessen the incentive for each state party
to assume further obligations by ratifying an amending instrument, thereby
perpetuating the messy two-tier situation.
The amendment provisions of the NPT are noteworthy. Any amending instrument
must be ratified by a majority of all NPT parties which includes all the
nuclear weapon state parties and all parties which were, at the time the
proposed amendment was circulated, members of the International Atomic Energy
Agency Board of Governors (in accordance with Article VIII.1 and VIII.2
of the NPT). Thus any one of 30 states could choose to exercise what is,
in effect, a power of veto to prevent an amendment from entering into force,
however strong the support for the amendment. But in practice, an amendment
supported by the nuclear weapon states to enforce obligations to bring about
the achievement of a nuclear weapon free world could be expected to receive
support from all non-nuclear weapon states party to the treaty.
Nevertheless an important point to note about the option of creating new
disarmament obligations by amending existing instruments is the difficulty
of 'quarantining' amendment proposals. All multilateral treaties are necessarily
the product of much compromise. For some parties, a proposed amendment may
appear to upset the original balance of rights and obligations which made
the treaty acceptable. For others, it may herald an opportunity to attempt
to redress every perceived problem in the unamended treaty by re-opening
debate upon all aspects of the treaty ­p; in what could prove to be a
counterproductive exercise serving only to weaken the treaty in question.
Protocols
A protocol added to an existing treaty will bind only those parties to the
treaty which express their consent to be bound by the protocol. However,
entry into force of the protocol would take place on its own terms. In relation
to the NPT, for example, a protocol could serve to situate important new
obligations under the auspices of the NPT while avoiding the cumbersome
and highly uncertain NPT amendment process. Since the protocol would not
amend the NPT its provisions could not conflict with those in the NPT, but
it could impose additional obligations, provided they are not inconsistent.
Optional protocols may be negotiated contemporaneously with the treaties
to which they are attached or at a later date. If negotiated later, their
potential existence may be foreshadowed in the text of the treaty, as a
means of encouraging future efforts on questions incapable of resolution
at the time of negotiation of the core treaty. However, this path would
require agreement by the states adopting the treaty that the question at
issue was one which should be debated and agreed upon at a later date.
Whenever negotiated, protocols could usefully facilitate a staged approach
to nuclear disarmament.
New Treaties
There is also the option of negotiating an entirely new treaty. The attractiveness
of this route would depend on a number of factors including the extent of
support from the nuclear weapon states for this option. On the one hand,
negotiation of an entirely new treaty will usually permit greater freedom
as to the scope of subject matter covered. On the other, negotiations on
the basis of a fundamental lack of consensus may impede progress. The time
taken for negotiation and universal ratification also would need to be taken
into account.
Revised Interpretation of Existing Treaty Provisions
Interpretation of the provisions of a treaty must take into account any
subsequent agreement between parties regarding its interpretation, and any
subsequent practice in the application of the treaty establishing such agreement
(per Article 31.3 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties).
One possible application of this rule concerns Article VI of the NPT. The
Principles and Objectives document of the 1995 NPT Review and Extension
Conference may be viewed as an agreement among NPT parties as to the steps
by which Article VI should be implemented. Future NPT Review Conferences
will review this common understanding of implementation of Article VI.
Non-Treaty Measures
Unilateral Statements and Acts
A state may be bound by an obligation undertaken in a unilateral declaration
if this is the intention of the state making the declaration and the undertaking
is given publicly. Most unilateral statements, however, are political in
character and are not intended to create legal obligations. Although these
statements are not legally binding, they can engender goodwill and enhance
the atmosphere for productive negotiations towards mutually accepted binding
commitments.
Unilateral acts may also assist initial progress towards treaty negotiations,
both by reducing substantive obstacles to agreement and by helping the psychological
adjustment to the view that a secure nuclear weapon free world is feasible.
Political Commitments by Two or More States
Like unilateral statements and acts, jointly expressed political commitments
may help to accelerate progress on disarmament. A multilateral non-binding
political declaration can be of potentially enormous influence. It may even
have an indirect legal effect if it comes to be seen as representing customary
international law. For example, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
adopted by the UN General Assembly in 1948 carries much weight and has been
invoked by international tribunals. Moreover, even if the declaration does
not involve legal obligations, any state would think twice before reneging
on a well-publicised political commitment undertaken jointly with other
states. As recommended in Part Two of the report, an immediately beneficial
first step at this stage of the disarmament process would be a commitment
to a nuclear weapon free world by all five declared nuclear weapon states,
in the first instance. What is proposed is not a treaty but a political
commitment or compact, entered into by those five states to which all other
states could express their agreement and support.
Options for Action
A number of options for taking action on legal arrangements are therefore
available as the world approaches and reaches the elimination of nuclear
weapons. Two basic approaches could be adopted: an incremental approach
and a comprehensive approach.
Incremental Approach
An incremental approach would build upon the existing NPT and other related
treaties such as a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, and possible future conventions
on the cessation of the production of fissile materials for nuclear explosive
purposes and on the non-first use of nuclear weapons, rather than seek to
replace them.
Such an incremental approach could entail supplementary commitments negotiated
in the form of an NPT protocol or NPT amendments. These measures would be
accompanied by a concerted effort to achieve universal adherence to the
NPT and by the transition by the nuclear weapon states to non-nuclear weapon
status under the NPT. This transition in nuclear weapon state status, in
combination with global adherence to the NPT, would entrench verifiable
commitments by all states to renounce nuclear weapons. Each nuclear weapon
state would thus renounce nuclear weapons and the formal assumption of legal
obligations could be via a new protocol. The text of the protocol would
be agreed by all NPT parties but signed only by the nuclear weapon states.
Following from the protocol could be a fullscope safeguards agreement with
the IAEA encompassing Article II obligations and any particular requirements
for verification in former weapon states.
The transformation of the NPT to a central treaty outlawing nuclear weapons
could then be affirmed by a declaration of all NPT parties, probably at
a Review Conference of the Treaty.
Thus, in the incremental approach, the transformed NPT along with entire
corpus of parallel treaty commitments, political declarations and undertakings
would serve as the legal and institutional basis for the elimination of
nuclear weapons.
Comprehensive Approach
The comprehensive approach would entail the negotiation of a new treaty
prohibiting the development and possession of nuclear weapons to replace
the NPT and possibly other treaties such as a CTBT and possible future conventions
on the cessation of the production of fissile materials for nuclear explosive
purposes and on the non-first use of nuclear weapons. An advantage of the
new treaty option is that it would allow greater freedom as to the subject
matter to be covered. It may also offer important political advantages by
codifying, in a single instrument, the global community's shared will to
eliminate nuclear weapons. A new treaty could also contain a clear focus
on the complete elimination of nuclear weapons whereas many of the existing
and prospective instruments that would be components of the incremental
approach have arms control rather than disarmament as their basis. Negotiation
of a new treaty would also be consistent with the approach taken with chemical
weapons and biological weapons both of which have been prohibited through
single legal instruments ­p; the Chemical Weapons Convention and the
Biological Weapons Convention.
The new treaty option may risk jeopardising the strength of the NPT regime,
with its almost global adherence, by attempting to achieve a new treaty
­p; especially as the benefits of such a new treaty may be achievable
in other ways. Despite its poor implementation record until very recently,
Article VI and the preambular paragraphs to the NPT contain the only legally
binding commitment to the elimination of nuclear weapons entered into by
all nuclear weapon states. Efforts to reinvigorate Article VI may bring
greater rewards than despairing of its potential. This is especially the
case in view of the strong reaffirmation of the NPT provided by the 1995
decision of NPT parties to extend the Treaty indefinitely.
On the other hand, there are advantages to the proposal for a comprehensive
new treaty. The new treaty option may also allow some distance from the
disappointing implementation record of Article VI and from acrimonious debate
about the extent to which the NPT is discriminatory. As to the risk that
efforts towards a new treaty may undermine the achievements of the NPT without
necessarily proving a better vehicle for disarmament, one or two options
suggest themselves as ways of minimising that danger:
- The new treaty could provide that none of its provisions were intended
to affect the operation of the NPT until such time as the new treaty had
both entered into force and been adhered to by every state party to the
NPT. At that stage, the NPT would be terminated, either explicitly by the
terms of the new treaty, to which all NPT parties had adhered, or implicitly
by virtue of Article 59 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties
­p; assuming that the new treaty would either subsume the NPT in its
entirety or be incapable of simultaneous application with it. However, this
would be a very elaborate solution, and confusion would be likely as to
the interaction between the provisions of the new treaty and those of the
NPT during the period before the NPT was terminated
- The new treaty could provide that it was to enter into force only after
it had been ratified by all states party to the NPT. Again, the NPT would
at that stage be terminated, whether explicitly or implicitly. Thus, the
provisions of the NPT would not be jeopardised prior to the clear-cut replacement
of the NPT regime with the regime ushered in by the entry into force of
the new treaty. The difficulty here is that such a high threshold requirement
for entry into force may mean that the new treaty never did enter into force,
so that despite all the efforts towards a new treaty the practical outcome
would be the continuation of an unimproved NPT regime.
While universal adherence to a new treaty would be the goal, no means exist
to force all states to adhere to it. Even if it were universally accepted
that the possession of nuclear weapons breached customary international
law, states would not be thereby obliged to accept the particular variant
of non-proliferation and verification commitments negotiated in the new
treaty. However, there is no legal difficulty in formulating an absolute
treaty prohibition on the development and possession of nuclear or any other
weapons, and in giving such a prohibition binding force for the states parties.
Fundamental, in any reflection on the legal regime required as a basic part
of the architecture for a nuclear weapon free world, is the recognition
that the legal regime supports but does not itself bring about such a world.
Questions about what the legal regime would comprise are important and do
play a role in the political negotiations through which a nuclear weapon
free world will be established. But it is these negotiations and determination
to make them effective which are central to the elimination of nuclear weapons.
Mandate
The Commission will develop ideas and proposals for a concrete and realistic
program to achieve a world totally free of nuclear weapons. The proliferation
of nuclear weapons is widely recognised as having become the most serious
threat to global security, and member states of the United Nations and the
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) have committed
themselves to the objective of a world totally free of nuclear weapons.
While various studies relevant to the achievement of such a world have been
and are being conducted, there has been no attempt to develop a comprehensive
and practical answer to the crucial question of how this objective can be
achieved.
The practical steps towards a nuclear weapon free world, to be suggested
by the Commission, will also address the related problem of maintaining
stability and security during the transitional period and after the ultimate
goal is accomplished.
The Commission will present a report to the Prime Minister of Australia
by 31 August 1996. It is the Government of Australia's intention to submit
the Commission's report to the 51st Session of the General Assembly of the
United Nations and to the Conference on Disarmament.
The Commission will consider and develop recommendations on the following
issues:
- Identification of concrete and realistic steps for achieving a nuclear
weapon free world, including the development and establishment of necessary
verification and control mechanisms and new international legal obligations.
Possible areas of focus include:
- the contribution of a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty; nuclear weapon
free zones; a 'cut-off' convention on the cessation of production of fissile
material for nuclear weapons; a possible treaty requiring all states to
declare and account for their present stocks of fissile material; and the
strengthening of the international safeguards system;
- carrying through of the commitment by the nuclear weapon states to
eliminate their nuclear stockpiles through a systematic process, including
safe and secure arrangements for weapons dismantlement and destruction;
and
- the problem of nuclear threshold states and the related issue of achieving
universal participation in the NPT.
- Development of durable security arrangements, both globally and regionally,
including:
- the maintenance of a system of stable deterrence while the reduction
and eventual elimination of nuclear weapons is being achieved;
- the link with other weapons of mass destruction and their control
or elimination; and
- measures to prevent break-out, nuclear theft and nuclear terrorism/criminality.
- Other related issues the Commission may identify during its work.
November 1995
The Commissioners
Celso Amorim
Ambassador Amorim was Brazilian Foreign Minister from 1993-1994, and Lecturer,
Department of Political Science and International Relations, University
of Brasilia. He was Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament, Geneva,
1991-1993. He is currently Brazil's Permanent Representative to the United
Nations, New York.
Lee Butler
General (Ret.) Butler was Commander in Chief of the US Strategic Air Command
(1991-1992) and subsequently the US Strategic Command (1992-1994) with responsibility
for all US Air Force and Navy nuclear deterrent forces. He was closely involved
in the development of US nuclear doctrine.
Richard Butler (Convenor)
Ambassador Butler was Australia's Ambassador for Disarmament from 1983-1988
and led the Australian Delegation to the Conference on Disarmament. He is
now Australia's Permanent Representative to the United Nations, New York.
Michael Carver
Field Marshal Lord Carver was Commander in Chief Far East of the British
Army (1967-1969), Chief of General Staff (1971-1973), and Chief of Defence
Staff (1973-1976). He is author of A Policy for Peace (1982), on
nuclear policy, and numerous other works on military history.
Jacques-Yves Cousteau
Captain Cousteau, writer, film producer and former naval officer, has been
for many years a leading international campaigner on environmental and global
survival issues. He is a former President of the French Council for the
Rights of Future Generations established by President Mitterrand in 1993.
Jayantha Dhanapala
Ambassador Dhanapala chaired the 1995 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review
and Extension Conference, represented his country in the Conference on Disarmament
as Permanent Representative of Sri Lanka to the United Nations, Geneva (1984-1987),
and is a former Director of the UN Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR).
He is a prominent figure in international nuclear non-proliferation and
disarmament issues and is currently Sri Lanka's Ambassador to the United
States.
Rolf Ekeus
Ambassador Ekeus is Executive Chairman, United Nations Special Commission
(UNSCOM), whose mandate is to identify and eliminate Iraq's weapons of mass
destruction. He is a former Swedish Ambassador for Disarmament and Ambassador
to the Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe (CSCE).
Nabil Elaraby
Ambassador Elaraby is a specialist international lawyer and a member of
the International Law Commission. He has been a key figure in nuclear non-proliferation
matters for many years, and was formerly Permanent Representative of Egypt
to the United Nations, Geneva (1987-1991). He is currently Permanent Representative
of Egypt to the United Nations, New York.
Ryukichi Imai
Professor Imai is a Counsellor to the Atomic Energy Commission of Japan
and a Professor at Kyorin University. He is a former Ambassador of Japan
to the Conference on Disarmament (1982-1987), to Kuwait and to Mexico. He
has been a Distinguished Scholar and a member of the Board of the Institute
for International Policy Studies. Professor Imai is an author of numerous
books and articles mainly on nuclear energy, non-proliferation and disarmament
matters. He received a Dr. Eng in Nuclear Engineering from the University
of Tokyo. He is a member of the International Governing Board of the Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
Ronald McCoy
Datuk McCoy is Vice President of the Asia Pacific Region and Chairman of
the Malaysian Chapter of International Physicians for the Prevention of
Nuclear War. This organisation won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1985. He is
currently President of the Malaysian Medical Association.
Robert McNamara
Mr McNamara was Secretary of Defense under Presidents Kennedy and Johnson.
He is a former President of the Ford Motor Company and the World Bank. Since
leaving the World Bank he has been active in economic and development efforts
across the globe and in the areas of arms control and nuclear non-proliferation.
Robert O'Neill
Professor O'Neill is Chichele Professor of the History of War, All Souls
College, Oxford University and was formerly Director, International Institute
of Strategic Studies, London.
Qian Jiadong
Ambassador Qian is a member of the National Committee and Vice-Chairman
of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative
Conference. Previously, he was Deputy Director-General of the China Centre
for International Studies, Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the
United Nations in Geneva, Ambassador for Disarmanent Affairs and Representative
to the Conference on Disarmament.
Michel Rocard
M. Rocard was Prime Minister of France 1988-1991. He is now a member of
the European Parliament and the French Senate, and a member of the Foreign
Affairs and Defence Commission in each.
Joseph Rotblat
Professor Rotblat, winner of the 1995 Nobel Peace Prize, is President of
the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs and a long standing
activist and writer on nuclear disarmament. He worked on the atom bomb during
World War II in Liverpool and Los Alamos and was a signatory of the Russell-Einstein
Manifesto. He is Emeritus Professor of Physics at St Bartholomew's Hospital,
University of London.
Roald Sagdeev
Professor Sagdeev is Distinguished Professor, Department of Physics, University
of Maryland and Director of the East-West Space Science Centre. He has held
the post of Director of the Space Research Institute of the USSR Academy
of Sciences and was former President Gorbachev's science adviser. From 1987-1988
Professor Sagdeev was Chairman of the Committee of Soviet Scientists for
Global Security.
Maj Britt Theorin
Dr Theorin has been a Member of the European Parliament since 1995 and is
a former Member of Parliament in Sweden (1971-1995). She is a former Swedish
Ambassador for Disarmament, in charge of Swedish disarmament policy (1982-1991).
She is President of the International Peace Bureau and President of Parliamentarians
for Global Action. She was Chairman of the UN Commission of Experts on Nuclear
Weapons (1989-1990), Chairman of the UN Study on Military and the Environment
(1990-1991) and Chairman of the UN Expert Group on Women and the Agenda
for Peace 1994.
Acknowledgements
The Commission received encouragement and assistance from a wide range of
sources. Background papers on issues relevant to the report were prepared
by Alexei Arbatov (Deputy Chair of the Defense Committee, State Duma of
the Russian Federation), Eric Arnett (SIPRI), Frank Blackaby (former Director
of SIPRI), Barry M. Blechman and Cathleen S. Fisher (Henry L. Stimson Center),
James Crawford and Philippe Sands (University of Cambridge and the University
of London respectively), Jonathan Dean (Union of Concerned Scientists),
John P. Holdren (University of California), James Leonard (Washington Council
on Non-Proliferation), Andrew Mack (Australian National University), Michael
MccGwire (University of Cambridge), Marvin Miller (Massachusetts Institute
of Technology), Janne E. Nolan (Brookings Institution), Christopher E. Paine,
Thomas B. Cochran and Robert S. Norris (Natural Resources Defense Council),
Tariq Rauf (Monterey Institute of International Studies), Leonard S. Spector
(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) and Ramesh Thakur (Australian
National University). These papers will be published separately.
Valuable comments on the Verification Annex were provided by Bruno Pellaud,
Mohamed ElBaradei and Rich Hooper of the International Atomic Energy Agency,
Patricia M. Lewis of the Verification Technology Information Centre and
Theodore B. Taylor. Commissioners also noted the paper 'Verifying Nuclear
Disarmament' by Steve Fetter of the University of Maryland.
Thanks are due to Dr Hans Blix, Director General, International Atomic Energy
Agency, and his senior staff for meeting Commissioners to discuss verification
issues.
The Commission met four times ­p; twice in Australia, once in the United
States and once in Austria. Staff at the meeting venues were of great assistance
to the Commission, particularly at the Harrison Conference Center at Glen
Cove, NY and the proprietors of the Schlosshotel Obermayerhofen, Sebersdorf,
Austria, Mr and Mrs Kottulinsky.
The Commission welcomed the opportunity to meet with the Austrian State
Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Dr Benita Ferrero-Waldner. It deeply appreciated
the Austrian Government's generous contribution toward costs of the Sebersdorf
meeting.
The Commission gratefully acknowledges the support of the Australian Government,
the support and work of the Secretariat and staff at Australia's overseas
missions, without which this report would not have been possible. While
the Commission was established by the Australian Government the views expressed
in this report are those of the Commission alone, and should not be understood
as representing, necessarily, attitudes or policies of the Australian Government.
Secretariat
A secretariat was established within the Australian Department of Foreign
Affairs and Trade to support the Commission.
Rory Steele (Head of the Secretariat)
Roger Hodgkins
John Page
Louise Holgate
Chui Fong Yap
Rory Medcalf
Julie McDonald (Media Liaison)
A number of other Australian officials assisted the Commission, in particular
Mr Kim Jones, Deputy Secretary, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade,
Mr Ian Cousins, First Assistant Secretary, International Security Division,
Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Dr Ron Huisken, Assistant Secretary,
North America and Intelligence Branch, Department of Defence.
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