Abolition 2000 US-India Working Group

On 5 May 2007, at Abolition 2000's Annual General Meeting, held in Vienna during the NPT PrepCom, the network decided to establish a working group to campaign on the US-India nuclear deal. There is also a page on Abolition Caucus's official web site.

This information can also be found (in a different lay out) at the: Abolition 2000 US-India Working Group page of CNIC



US-India Working Group Action (media, lobbying, call to action)



Diverse Statements 2008

Statements at the 2008 NPT PrepCom

Article in News in Review 2008 (Civil society newsletter on the NPT PrepCom)

Selected extracts from government statements and working papers delivered at the 2008 NPT PrepCom



Diverse Statements 2007

Two NGO Statements from the 2007 NPT PrepCom

Government statements and working papers from 2007 NPT PrepCom



Links

Articles etc.

Official Documents





Statements 2008


NGO Statement at 2008 NPT PrepCom

The following statement was delivered by John Loretz of the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War on 29 April 2008. It is based on an international letter sent on 7 January 2008 to governments on the NSG and the IAEA Board of Governors.

Proposal for Nuclear Cooperation with India: A Nonproliferation Disaster

Convenors: Daryl Kimball, Arms Control Association; Philip White, Abolition 2000 US-India Deal Working Group
Speaker: John Loretz, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War

Ladies and Gentleman:

As we mark the 40th anniversary of the opening for signature of the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), global system for controlling and eliminating nuclear weapons is under severe stress. This presentation addresses a fundamental challenge to the treaty: the July 2005 proposal to carve-out a country-specific loophole in global nonproliferation norms and standards to allow a handful of nuclear supplier states to engage in nuclear cooperation with India, which is one of the few remaining NPT hold-out states.

We believe that each NPT state party has a role and responsibility to actively help ensure that any proposed nuclear cooperation with India, or with any other country outside the NPT, should be fully consistent with the treaty and all NPT Review Conference decisions, as well as United Nations Security Council resolution, the established practices of the IAEA safeguards system, and international nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation agreements, principles, and norms.

This presentation represents the views of more than 130 experts and nongovernmental organizations from 23 countries, including the President of the 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference. It is based on a letter dated 7 January 2008 that was sent by these organizations and individuals to over 60 governments.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors may soon be asked to consider a new "India-specific" safeguards agreement that would cover a limited number of additional "civilianÅh reactors. Shortly thereafter, the members of the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) will be asked to take a position on the Bush administration's proposal to exempt India from longstanding NSG guidelines that require full-scope IAEA safeguards as a condition of supply. This would open the door for the United States and others to engage in nuclear trade with India for the first time since India detonated a nuclear device in 1974 that used plutonium harvested from a heavy water reactor supplied by Canada and the United States in violation of bilateral peaceful nuclear use agreements.

Contrary to the claims of its advocates, the proposed arrangement fails to bring India further into conformity with the nonproliferation behavior expected of other states. India's commitments under the current terms of the proposed arrangement do not justify making far-reaching exceptions to international nonproliferation rules and norms. Consequently, the proposed arrangement would damage the already fragile nuclear nonproliferation system and set back efforts to achieve universal nuclear disarmament.

We urge your government and this meeting of NPT states parties has a responsibility to consider the full implications of the proposed agreement and to play an active role to help ensure that this controversial proposal does not:

  • further undermine the nuclear safeguards system and efforts to prevent the proliferation of technologies that may be used to produce nuclear bomb material;
  • in any way contribute to nuclear proliferation and/or the expansion of India's nuclear arsenal; or
  • otherwise grant India the benefits of civil nuclear trade without holding it to the same standards expected of other states parties of the NPT.

Please consider the following:

1) India is seeking "India-specific" safeguards over the additional facilities it has declared "civilian". Indian officials insist that the continuation of these safeguards depends upon the continued supply of nuclear fuel from foreign suppliers. India may also assert that it has the option to remove certain "indigenous" reactors from safeguards if foreign fuel supplies are interrupted, even if that is because it has resumed nuclear testing. Such interpretations would be unprecedented and should be rejected whether they might be included in the actual safeguards agreement or accompanying statements.

As part of the final document of the 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference, all NPT states parties endorsed the principle of full-scope safeguards as a condition of supply. A decision by a subset of the NPT states parties - the 45-nation NSG - to exempt India from this requirement for India would contradict this important element of the NPT bargain.

It should also be noted that the several countries that are parties to the Treaty of Pelindaba and the Treaty of Rarotonga have made further commitments not to provide any source or special fissionable material to any NPT non-nuclear-weapon state unless the recipient state is under comprehensive IAEA safeguards.

We urge your government to actively oppose any arrangement that would give India any special safeguards exemptions or would in any way be inconsistent with the principle of permanent safeguards over all nuclear materials and facilities.

2) India pledged in July 2005 to conclude an Additional Protocol to its safeguards agreement. Given that India maintains a nuclear weapons program outside of safeguards, facility-specific safeguards on a few additional "civilian" reactors provide no serious nonproliferation benefits. States should insist that India conclude a meaningful Additional Protocol safeguards regime before the NSG takes a decision on exempting India from its rules.

3) The United States has put forward a draft NSG guideline that would allow NSG states to continue providing India with nuclear supplies even if New Delhi breaks its nuclear test moratorium pledge. Indian officials say they want changes to NSG guidelines that do not impinge upon their ability to resume nuclear testing. The U.S. proposal on India at the NSG would, in the case of a resumption of nuclear testing by India, make the suspension of nuclear trade optional for NSG members. Such an approach would undercut the international norm against nuclear testing and make a mockery of NSG guidelines. Nuclear supplier states should be immediately terminated if India resumes nuclear testing for any reason.

4) India is seeking exemptions from NSG guidelines and IAEA supply guarantees that would allow supplier states to provide India with a strategic fuel reserve that could be used to outlast any fuel supply cut off or sanctions that may be imposed if it resumes nuclear testing. The U.S.-India bilateral nuclear cooperation agreement includes political commitments to support an Indian strategic fuel reserve and an "India-specific" fuel supply arrangement. If nuclear supplier states should agree to supply fuel to India, they should do so in a manner that is commensurate with ordinary reactor operating requirements.

5) India is seeking and the United States has proposed an NSG guideline that would open the way for other nuclear suppliers to transfer sensitive plutonium reprocessing, uranium enrichment, or heavy water production technology to India even though IAEA safeguards cannot prevent such technology from being replicated and used in its weapons program. U.S. officials have stated that they do not intend to sell such technology, but other states may. Foreign-assisted enrichment and reprocessing, even if ostensibly confined to the civilian program, could help India in its military programs because Indian technicians could adapt civilian assistance to the weapons program through reverse engineering. So long as India maintains an unsafeguarded weapons program, no such technologies should be transferred to India.

6) Absent a decision by New Delhi to halt the production of fissile material for weapons purposes, foreign fuel supplies would allow India not only to continue but also to potentially accelerate the buildup of its stockpile of nuclear weapons materials. This would not only contradict the goal of Article I of the NPT, but it would also foster further nuclear competition between India and Pakistan. India's stated support for a global, verifiable fissile material cut-off treaty is welcome, but insufficient, especially given the decade-long gridlock in Geneva that has held up negotiations on the cut-off.

7) UN Security Council Resolution 1172 calls on India and Pakistan to sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and stop producing fissile material for weapons, among other nuclear risk reduction measures. Your government is bound by the UN Charter to support the implementation of this resolution and states at this meeting should reiterate their commitment to the prompt realization of its goals.

Conclusion
The initiative for nuclear cooperation with India threatens to undermine the nuclear nonproliferation regime by granting India the benefits of nuclear commerce only accorded to NPT states parties, while securing no meaningful constraint on the growth of its nuclear weapons stockpile or commitment by India to accept the legal equivalent of the obligations set forth in Articles I and VI of the NPT.

We call on all NPT states parties to judge the proposal for nuclear cooperation according to the commitments they have made under the treaty and in the context of NPT Review Conferences, and according to the obligations imposed by UN Security Council resolutions passed in the aftermath of the May 1998 Indian and Pakistani nuclear tests. Rather than create exceptions to the rules of behavior expected of responsible states, NPT states parties should reaffirm the need for universal adherence to the treaty and for nuclear disarmament.

Thank you.

Individual Endorsements of Jan. 7, 2008 letter
click here for a full list of signatories.





Statements 2008


Article in News in Review (30 April 2008, No. 3)

US-India Nuclear Agreement: Bad for Nuclear Nonproliferation, Bad for Nuclear Disarmament

The US-India nuclear agreement will be the topic of a workshop in the NGO Room this morning (2 May 2008). The agreement has attracted a great deal of attention and concern since it was announced in 2005 by President George Bush and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. Many believe that given the implications of the agreement for the nonproliferation regime, it should be on the official agenda of this NPT Prepcom and that any final decision should wait for the 2010 NPT Review Conference.

The most authoritative and credible statement about the implications of the agreement for nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament was a letter sent in January this year to more than four-dozen governments by a prestigious and broad array of more than 130 experts and nongovernmental organizations from 23 countries. Among the experts who signed the letter was Amb. Jayantha Dhanapala, the former UN Under-Secretary General for Disarmament Affairs and President of the 1995 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty Review and Extension Conference. Nongovernmental organizations from South Asia, East Asia, Australia and New Zealand, Europe, Africa, and North America endorsed the letter. which was organized by the Abolition 2000 network's US-India Deal Working Group and the Washington-based Arms Control Association.

The letter formed the basis of the NGO presentation on the US-India nuclear agreement delivered at this PrepCom. It provides a litmus test against which proposals for allowing India to participate in nuclear trade should be measured.

The letter said the U.S. proposal to exempt India from longstanding global nuclear trade standards "would damage the already fragile nuclear nonproliferation system and set back efforts to achieve universal nuclear disarmament." The signatories wrote that "the proposed arrangement fails to bring India into conformity with the nonproliferation behavior expected of other states. India's commitments under the current terms of the proposed arrangement do not justify making far-reaching exceptions to international nonproliferation rules and norms."

What is at issue here are the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) ban on providing direct or indirect assistance for another state's nuclear weapons program and the Nuclear Suppliers Group guidelines that severely restrict trade with states, such as India, that do not allow comprehensive international safeguards over all nuclear facilities and material in their territory. The United States seeks to exempt India from these restrictions even though India detonated a nuclear test in 1974 made with plutonium harvested from a Canadian and U.S.-supplied reactor in violation of peace nuclear use agreements, has not to joined the NPT, continues to produce fissile material for nuclear weapons, and has not signed the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT).

As part of the agreement with the US, the Indian government has finalized with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) secretariat the text of a safeguards agreement to cover those reactors that India chooses to be civilian, leaving its military nuclear program and its fast breeder reactor program outside safeguards. This safeguards agreement has not been made public. Meanwhile, obstructions by some political parties on whose support the ruling coalition in Delhi depends, in addition to opposition from the opposition parties, has so far prevented India from submitting the text to the IAEA Board of Governors for approval.

If the IAEA and India sign a safeguards agreement, the matter will then go to the 45-member Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG). By virtue of their veto power, each NSG member state has a pivotal role to play. It is not clear when the NSG will be asked to make a decision. The matter than goes to the US Congress for final approval of a US-India Nuclear Cooperation Agreement.

At the time of writing this article, it was looking unlikely that all these steps would be concluded within this year. However, negotiation of the agreement has been characterized by last minute fixes and sudden changes of tactics, so a sudden unexpected development should come as no surprise.

Given the damage the US-India agreement would do to the already fragile nuclear nonproliferation system, there is much at stake for all NPT states and the nonproliferation regime as a whole. Indeed, by rights the matter should not be decided by the NSG at all. It should be fully debated within the context of the NPT.

Several countries made references to the US-India agreement, either directly or indirectly, during the 2007 NPT PrepCom, but the issue was not given the attention it deserves. Delegates at this year's PrepCom should thoroughly debate the issues raised by the US-India agreement, and any proposal to allow the agreement to proceed should be submitted as a recommendation to the 2010 NPT Review Conference.

Philip White
Coordinator, Abolition 2000 US-India Deal Working Group





Statements 2008


Selected extracts from government statements and working papers delivered at the 28 April - 9 May 2008 NPT PrepCom

Indonesia on behalf of the Group of Non-Aligned States Parties to the Treaty (28 April 2008)
"NWS [Nuclear Weapon States], in cooperation among themselves and with NNWS [Non-Nuclear Weapons States], as well as with the States not Parties to the Treaty, must refrain from sharing of nuclear know-how for military purposes under any kind of security arrangements. Without exception, there should also be a complete prohibition of the transfer of all nuclear-related equipment, information, material and facilities, resources or devices and the extension of assistance in the nuclear, scientific or technological fields to States which are not Parties to the Treaty. The recent developments in particular the nuclear cooperation agreement signed by a NWS with a non-party to the NPT is a matter of great concern, since in accordance with that agreement nuclear materials can be transferred to un-safeguarded facilities in violation of Article III, paragraph 2 of the NPT which stipulates that cooperation of each State Party to the Treaty in providing equipment or material for peaceful purposes is not possible "unless the source or special fissionable material shall be subject to the safeguards required by" the NPT. The 1995 decisions and principles and objective of nuclear non-proliferation further strongly confirms comprehensive safeguards as a condition for cooperation with non NPT parties in the nuclear field."

Egypt (28 April 2008)
"...we reiterate that the priority of achieving NPT Universality is a necessary first step towards the universal application and strengthening of IAEA Full Scope Safeguards."
"...Egypt underscores the dangers of engaging in nuclear cooperation between States Parties and other states not party to the Treaty, regardless of the motives declared or the intentions stated. Any such cooperation is in idrect contradiction to the spirit of Article 1 of the Treaty and the provisions of Para 12 of Decision II of the 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference. Such actions raise serious concerns amongst Non-Nuclear Weapon States Parties as to the value added by remaining within the framework of the Treaty and consistently upholding and strengthening its Objectives. It is therefore necessary to reevaluate such forms of cooperation in view of their direct negative impact on the entire global non-proliferation regime."

Canada (5 May 2008)
"...both India and Pakistan have deeply-felt security concerns that must be addressed. While we continue to oppose any special status within the NPT that would seek to legitimize the development and possession of nuclear weapons by new states, we welcome India's willingness to accept additional non-proliferation obligations and we are closely following developments as India seeks to expand its nuclear cooperation. We will want to ensure that any develoopments in this regard do not weaken the international non-proliferation and disarmament regime, and recall the positions already taken by the NPT membership regarding conditions of supply.
In addition to signing and ratifying the CTBT, there are other steps that would reaffirm both India and Pakistan's stated commitments to nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation. We urge both states to place their respective fuel cycles under comprehensive IAEA safeguards and both states, but especially Pakistan, to reinforce and strengthen national export control programs to impede secondary proliferation. We also urge both States to support the P6 proposal at the Conference on Disarmament and to agree to moratoria on fissile material production. Such actions would respect the expressed will of the international community and build confidence between the two states."

Japan (5 May 2008)
"With regard to South Asia, Japan appreciates recent efforts made by both India and Pakistan to promote confidence-building and thereby lessen the tensions between them. At the same time, Japan continues to urge both states to accede to the NPT as non-nuclear-weapon States promptly and without condition. We also believe that all the States not parties to the Treaty should take practical disarmament measures in support of the NPT. In this context, we urge India and Pakistan to continue their commitment to the moratorium on nuclear tests, and to sign and ratify the CTBT. As regards the work of the Conference on Disarmament, Japan encourages both states to continue cooperation and consultation with other countries in seeking actively an immediate commencement of the negotiations on an FMCT without preconditions, and pending the entry into force of the treaty, to declare a moratorium on the production of fissile material for any nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices.."

Egypt (6 May 2008)
"This regrettable situation is aggravated when nuclear weapon States parties enter into new agreements, or update existing ones, with states that are not parties and refuse to undertake any commitment in the field of disarmament, in order to enhance their capabilities in the field of power generation or nuclear safety without requiring from them to join the Treaty and apply the IAEA comprehensive safeguards to all their nuclear installations. The argument that these non parties do not have obligations to comply with in the first place is a futile argument. Any such agreement contravenes the spirit and text of the Treaty. It runs counter to the obligations of the nuclear weapon States parties under Article 1, paragraph 2 of article III and paragraph 12 of the Decision of the 1995 Review and Extension Conference on the Principles and Objectives of the Treaty that considered the acceptance of the IAEA full scope safeguards and internationally legally binding commitments not to acquire nuclear weapons a precondition for new supply arrangements."





Statements 2007


Two NGO Statements from the 2007 NPT PrepCom

  1. Statement adopted by the Abolition 2000 AGM on 5 May 2007 (distributed to diplomats assembled in Vienna for the 2007 NPT Preparatory Committee)
  2. Extract from NGO Group 1 statement at the NPT Preparatory Committee in Vienna on 2 May 2007




Statements 2007


Full Compliance with Article I of the NPT? (336 KB)

The US-India Deal

1. Introduction
There is a prima facie case that, if approved, the US-India nuclear deal would be a violation of the NPT and decisions made at NPT Review Conferences.

The US-India nuclear deal seeks to lay the basis for the sale of nuclear material and technology to India, even though India is not an NPT party, and is considered a non-weapon state under the terms of the Treaty, and does not have full-scope safeguards on its nuclear facilities. According to the International Panel on Fissile Materials, the deal would, as currently structured, allow India to divert more of its own uranium resources to significantly expand production of plutonium for nuclear weapons.1

2. NPT articles and Review Conference Decisions relating to US-India nuclear deal
Article I of the NPT (1968):
Each nuclear-weapon State Party to the Treaty undertakes not to transfer to any recipient whatsoever nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices or control over such weapons or explosive devices directly, or indirectly; and not in any way to assist, encourage, or induce any non-nuclear-weapon State to manufacture or otherwise acquire nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices, or control over such weapons or explosive devices.

"Principles and objectives for nuclear nonproliferation and disarmament" (1995):
12. New supply arrangements for the transfer of source or special fissionable material or equipment or material especially designed or prepared for the processing, use or production of special fissionable material to non-nuclear-weapon States should require, as a necessary precondition, acceptance of the Agency's full-scope safeguards and internationally legally binding commitments not to acquire nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices."

Final Document of the 2000 NPT Review Conference:
10. The Conference also calls upon all State parties to refrain from any action that may contravene or undermine the objectives of the Treaty as well as of United Nations Security Council resolution 1172 (quoted below).
36. The Conference reaffirms paragraph 12 of decision 2 (quoted above) adopted on 11 May 1995 by the Review and Extension Conference.

United Nations Security Council resolution 1172 (1998):
7. India and Pakistan to "immediately to stop their nuclear weapon development programs... and any further production of fissile material for nuclear weapons."
8. Encourages all States to prevent the export of equipment, materials or technology that could in any way assist programmes in India or Pakistan for nuclear weapons or for ballistic missiles capable of delivering such weapons, and welcomes national policies adopted and declared in this respect.

3. Analysis
The above quotes represent the consensus position of the States Parties to the NPT and a unanimous resolution of the UN Security Council.

As the member of the NPT which is a partner to this bilateral deal, the onus is upon the United States to propose a new basis for NPT parties to arrive at a consensus that would accommodate the US-India deal. If convinced, States Parties can then adopt the proposal as a recommendation to the 2010 NPT Review Conference.

The NSG is required to approve the deal before it comes into force. Members of the Nuclear Suppliers Group should resist any effort to decide on this matter until the question of the deal's compliance with the NPT is properly resolved. To do anything else, would be a serious breach of good faith.

While all NSG members are members of the NPT, membership of NSG is not representative of the NPT membership as a whole. Almost two-thirds of the NSG members either possess nuclear weapons or are members of nuclear alliances, while almost two-thirds of the NPT parties find their security within nuclear-weapon-free zones.

4. Recommendation
NPT states parties should invite the US to propose language to the NPT Prepcom that can show how the US-India deal is in compliance with Article I and the 1995 and 2000 RevCon positions, and is not a violation of UN Security Council Resolution 1172. States Parties will then be able to decide whether a compelling case has been made or the deal contravenes the objectives and purposes of the Treaty.

1. Fissile Materials in South Asia and the Implications of the US-India Nuclear Deal, Zia Mian, A.H. Nayyar, R. Rajaraman and M.V. Ramana, International Panel on Fissile Materials Research Report #1, 11 July 2006
http://www.fissilematerials.org/ipfm/site_down/ipfmresearchreport01.pdf





Statements 2007


Extract from NGO Group 1 statement at the NPT Preparatory Committee in Vienna on 2 May 2007

Full text of statement (108KB))
Reference to US-India deal

Nuclear Power and Nuclear Weapons

While the link between non-proliferation and disarmament is widely acknowledged, recent events have underscored a second inextricable link: that between nuclear power and nuclear weapons. In order to ensure the long term viability and sustainability of global security there is need for a serious discussion about nuclear energy in the context of achieving and sustaining non-proliferation and disarmament objectives.

Recent high-profile cases, including the crises over the nuclear programs in Iran and the DPRK, have brought the risks associated with the spread of nuclear fuel-cycle technology to the forefront of the international agenda. There is a tendency to treat these cases as isolated and unique problems, but it would be irresponsible to ignore how these issues reflect fundamental instabilities in the pillars that uphold the NPT.

Article IV cites an "inalienable right" of states parties to develop nuclear technology as long as they do not violate their obligation not to manufacture or acquire nuclear weapons. While states surely are entitled to develop energy sources as part of the sovereign right of development, that right is subject to restrictions - including on particular energy sources - in the common interest. Accordingly, the qualification of the NPT right to peaceful nuclear energy as "inalienable" should be understood in the context of the NPT bargain, and not as a claim that it is a fundamental aspect of sovereignty. The"right" to nuclear energy, therefore, may be limited or extinguished over time by subsequent developments and agreements. The NPT Article V promise of access to the "benefits" of peaceful nuclear explosions was superseded by the abandonment of the notion of such projects as digging canals with nuclear explosive devices and by the adoption of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Any right, whatever its basis, must be exercised in conformity with international law, and is subject to limits based upon the environmental and security rights of other States and the global community.

In practice, this Article IV-based "right" has allowed states to build capacity and infrastructure that would enable them to produce nuclear weapons within a brief time period, under the guise of a "peaceful" civilian energy program. With some adjustment, the very same facilities and equipment used to produce low-enriched uranium fuel for power reactors can produce high-enriched uranium suitable for use in a nuclear weapon. The separation and reprocessing of plutonium from spent reactor fuel as mixed-oxide fuel is a potentially greater proliferation challenge, as all separated plutonium is directly usable in nuclear weapons. All existing commercial nuclear power reactors produce plutonium as a by-product.

Recently, the nuclear industry and some governments have been actively promoting nuclear power as part of the solution to avoid the looming ecological catastrophe posed by global warming. This has helped fuel predictions that nuclear power might expand three-fold by mid-century. While we do not accept the industry's claims that a solution to the problem of global warming requires nuclear energy, we will not attempt here to address the full range of economic, environmental, and public health problems with those claims. We emphasize, though, that the spread of these technologies increases the risk that such facilities might be misused and that nuclear material might be diverted to use in weapons or fall into the hands of terrorists, or that the knowledge gained from operating such facilities might be employed in a clandestine nuclear bomb program. An expansion of the global nuclear energy industry also increases the risk of terrorist attack on reactors and their spent fuel stores. A transfer of the huge investments that are being made in nuclear technologies to clean, safe, climate-friendly energy production and energy efficiency would be a much wiser use of resources and talent.

Perhaps the clearest and most troubling development in this regard, since the 2005 Review, is the USIndia nuclear energy deal announced in March 2006. A framework of international rules and institutions derived from the NPT have prevented non-Member States from using commercial imports of nuclear technology and fuel to aid their nuclear weapons ambitions. This deal is one of the most important challenges to face the NPT in more than thirty years, because commercial uranium imports for safeguarded reactors will free up more of India's domestic uranium for its military program, which will remain unsafeguarded and free of the necessity of IAEA inspections. The US-India deal is nothing short of a recipe by which India can increase its nuclear arsenal by hundreds of warheads over the next several years-a goal that has been discussed openly by senior military and government officials. For example, the former head of India's official National Security Advisory Board has argued that "Given India's uranium ore crunch, it is to India's advantage to categorize as many power reactors as possible as civilian ones to be refueled by imported uranium and conserve our native uranium fuel for weapons grade plutonium production."

India already has about 500 kilograms of weapons grade plutonium, sufficient for roughly 100 nuclear warheads. It also has a stock of about 11.5 tons of reactor grade plutonium produced in the spent fuel of its power reactors. Under the terms of the deal, this stock of plutonium, too, would be kept out of safeguards. India would also keep out of safeguards its Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor, which is scheduled to start in 2010. It is to be fueled with reactor-grade plutonium and will produce weaponsgrade plutonium. This would result in a roughly four-fold increase in India's current weapons plutonium production rate. By substituting imports for domestic uranium and expanding existing uranium recycling efforts, India also might be able to produce up to 200 kg a year of weapon grade plutonium in its unsafeguarded power reactors.

Pakistan's response, should this deal be implemented, is predictable, as is China's. Nuclear policy analysts Zia Mian, M. V. Ramana, and Frank von Hippel have warned that "a dramatic acceleration in the nuclear arms race in South Asia may be triggered by this deal. Such a development would be both dangerous and costly, and set back the efforts for peace and development in South Asia." Aside from concerns about a regional arms race, the US-India deal sets a precedent that will almost assuredly prompt Pakistan to seek a comparable agreement.

The US-India nuclear energy deal undermines the basic principle on which the NPT was founded. If India, which developed nuclear weapons while remaining outside the NPT, is granted the same privileges as Treaty members-indeed, virtually the same privileges as the nuclear weapons states, then other countries may well ask what benefit they derive from adhering to their NPT commitments.

The US Congress has rewritten US law -signed in December 2006 by President Bush - to exempt India from the existing framework of rules. To come into force, however, the US-India deal requires assent by the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) of countries. Since the Group works by consensus, each of the 45 NSG members, who are all parties to the NPT, must agree to change its rules and allow nuclear sales to India. In effect, NSG countries that claim to be strong nonproliferation advocates must decide if they will uphold or reject commitments they made at the May 2000 NPT Review Conference aimed at restricting the nuclear weapons of India and Pakistan. The NGO community urges the NSG to reject the terms of this deal and to prohibit its implementation as inconsistent with United Nations Security Council Resolution 1172, adopted on 6 June 1998, and referenced in the 2000 NPT Final Document. The Resolution, which was passed unanimously, calls upon India and Pakistan "immediately to stop their nuclear weapon development programs, to refrain from weaponization or from the deployment of nuclear weapons, to cease development of ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons and any further production of fissile material for nuclear weapons." The Resolution also encourages all States to "prevent the export of equipment, materials or technology that could in any way assist programs in India or Pakistan for nuclear weapons." Indeed, the best course for the NSG would be to wait until NPT states parties have taken a decision on the matter, which may not occur until the 2010 Review Conference.

Rather than foster a potentially large expansion of the South Asian nuclear arms race, the NSG and all NPT signatories should reaffirm their commitment to the 2000 Review Conference statement and support the United Nations Security Council Resolution. They should try to strengthen the long-standing international effort to end all production of highly enriched uranium and plutonium to make nuclear weapons.





Statements 2007


Government statements and working papers from 2007 NPT PrepCom

Switzerland (30 April 2007)
"...the project of co-operation in the field of civilian nuclear energy between India and the USA will not be without consequences for the non-proliferation regime based on the NPT. If this project is carried out it will call into question the validity of the compromise which enabled a consensus to be found on the extension of the NPT at the 1995 Review Conference."

Ireland (on behalf of the New Agenda Coalition) (1 May 2007)
"While the NPT's membership now comprises almost the entire international community, the Treaty has not achieved universality despite its entry into force 37 years ago. This remains a source of concern to the New Agenda Coalition. The Coalition has consistently called upon all States Parties to spare no effort to achieve the universality of the NPT, and urges India, Israel and Pakistan, which are not yet Parties to the Treaty, to accede to it as non-nuclear weapon-States promptly and without conditions."

New Agenda Coalition (1 May 2007)
From working paper submitted by Ireland on behalf of Brazil, Egypt, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, South Africa and Sweden as members of the New Agenda Coalition (1 May 2007)
"14. Considering that universality is highlighted in Decision II of the 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference as an essential element in achieving international peace and security and the complete elimination of nuclear weapons, it is imperative that concrete steps are taken towards achieving this pivotal goal in order to fully realize both the declared objectives of the Treaty and the commitments made by the States Parties to the Treaty as part of the consensus package of decisions and resolutions achieved at the 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference.
15. The New Agenda Coalition calls upon all States Parties to spare no effort to achieve the universality of the NPT, and in that regard urges India, Israel and Pakistan, which are not yet Parties to the Treaty to accede to it as non-nuclear-weapon States promptly and without any conditions.
16. The New Agenda Coalition recalls that, at the Review Conference in 2000, States Parties reaffirmed the unanimous agreement at the Review and Extension Conference in 1995 not to enter into new nuclear supply arrangements with parties that did not accept IAEA full-scope safeguards on their nuclear facilities."

Cuba on behalf of the Group of Non-Aligned States Parties to the Treaty (30 April 2007)
"Nuclear-weapon States, in cooperation among themselves and with non-nuclear-weapons States, and with States not Parties to the Treaty, must refrain from nuclear sharing for military purposes under any kind of security arrangements.
There should also be total and complete prohibition of the transfer of all nuclear-related equipment, information, material and facilities, resources or devices and the extension of assistance in the nuclear, scientific or technological fields to States that are not Parties to the Treaty, without exception."

Japan (30 April 2007)
"For the purpose of achieving the universality of the NPT, Japan reiterates its calls for India, Israel and Pakistan to accede to the Treaty as non-nuclear-weapon States."

Malaysia (1 May 2007)
"Malaysia is of the view that such cases whereby a non-party is accorded preferential treatment in comparison to States Parties, constitutes a gross violation of the spirit and letter of the Treaty....Malaysia is also concerned that access by certain States not party to the NPT to nuclear materials, technology and know-how that could be diverted to the development of nuclear weapons, is being facilitated by certain nuclearweapon States. In this regard, if States Parties are serious in achieving the goal of universalising the Treaty, they would join Malaysia in calling for a total and complete prohibition on the transfer of all nuclear related materials, resources, assistance and cooperation in nuclear scientific or technological fields to States non-parties to the Treaty, without exception."

United Arab Emirates (1 May 2007)
"...our main priority should be to enhance our deliberations in this meeting by focusing on six main axes, which will contribute towards making gradual scientific progress towards nuclear disarmament...
5- Taking more effective measures to ensure accession of States that are not party to the Treaty to do so in order to strengthen the universality and effectiveness of the Treaty."





Links


Links

The U.S.-Indian Nuclear Cooperation Deal (Arms Control Association resource page)

Reaching Critical Will (coordinates NGO presentations at NPT conferences)

United Nations NPT Home Page

Preparatory Committee for the 2010 Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference 28 April - 9 May 2008 Second Session (official web site)

NPT PrepCom 2007 Home Page





Articles etc.


Articles etc.

Oliver Meier, "NPT Preparatory Meeting Scores Some Success", Arms Control Today, June 2007
http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2007_06/NPT.asp
(Includes analysis of comments made at the PrepCom about the US-India deal.)

Sandeep Pandey, "Watch Tower: An ominous deal", Central Chronicle, 14 May 2007
http://www.centralchronicle.com/20070514/1405303.htm
(The same article was also published in the Seoul Times.)
http://theseoultimes.com/ST/?url=/ST/db/read.php?idx=5311

Zia Mian, M.V. Ramana, Frank von Hippel, "Feeding potential for South Asia's nuclear fire", The Asahi Shimbun (English edition), 29 March 2007
http://www.asahi.com/english/Herald-asahi/TKY200703290073.html

Resolution adopted at the seminar Indo US Nuclear 'Deal' India, South Asia, NAM and the Global Order, Bombay, 12 March 2007
http://perso.orange.fr/sacw/saan/2007/Res032007.html

Letter to the Japanese government from members and representatives of civil society groups and peoples' organizations from India and Pakistan, 1 February 2007
http://cnic.jp/english/news/newsflash/2007/indiapakcit.html

Zia Mian, A.H. Nayyar, R. Rajaraman and M. V. Ramana, Fissile Materials in South Asia:The Implications of the US-India Nuclear Deal, International Panel on Fissile Materials, Research Report #1, 11 July 2006
http://www.fissilematerials.org/ipfm/site_down/ipfmresearchreport01.pdf

Zia Mian and M. V. Ramana, "Wrong Ends, Means, and Needs: Behind the U.S. Nuclear Deal With India", Arms Control Today, January/February 2006
http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2006_01-02/JANFEB-IndiaFeature.asp





Official Documents


Official Documents

Text of "123 Agreement" - draft text of bilateral nuclear agreement between US and India released 3 August 2008

"Henry J. Hyde US-India Peaceful Atomic Energy Cooperation Act", 8 December 2006 (288KB)

United Nations Security Council resolution 1172 (6 June 1998) (16KB)

2000 NPT Review Conference, Final Document, Part 1 (see Decision 2, Principles and objectives for nuclear nonproliferation and disarmament, p. 9) (212KB)

1995 NPT Review Conference, Final Document, Part 1 (36KB)

Text of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (28KB)